Figure 2 shows the change in energy mix over the outlook period. Iea world energy outlook sees radical shifts, despite conservatism the next 25 years will see a radical shift towards renewables and away from coal, a global energy centre of gravity pivoting towards india and the prospect of africa leapfrogging dirty energy. World energy outlook 2016 excerpt waterenergy nexus. From a shift in the geopolitical center of the global energy market to the predicted trajectory of individual technologies, heres your needtoknow. Focussed on the electricity system, neo combines the. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics home.
Doubts have arisen about whether emerging countries would drive the acceleration of global economic growth in the near future. However, the growth in total generation means that the amount of coal used in generation increases by 27 per cent from 20 levels. The report also finds that the middle east, the only large source of lowcost oil, will take back. Launch of international energy agencys flagship publication, by executive director fatih birol, london, 10 november 2015. World energy outlook 2017 international energy agency iea identifies four major trends for the next 25 years energy demand over the next 25 years, the worlds energy demand is set to increase by 40 %. Liquid fuels supplies from both opec and non opec producers increase through 2040 adam sieminski, rieti october 4, 2016 5 0 10.
Get exclusive, new features and security updates available only for excel in office 365. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. Soaring oil, gas and coal prices, exploding energy demand in china, war in iraq and electricity blackouts across the world are among the signs and causes of the profound transformations through which the energy world is passing. Federal ministry for economic affairs and energy, germany. Our new outlook describes multiple future pathways for global energy through to 2040. Among them, the new policies scenario describes where existing policies and announced. This decoupling has given the iea the confidence to model just 0.
World energy outlook 2015 australian energy council. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report 2015. Pdf the world energy consumption has increased with rising of. Jim diefenderfer, director, office of electricity, coal, nuclear, and. World energy outlook 2010 food climate research network. It provides an exceptionally thorough analysis of global energy markets and clearly highlights the. Key findings of the international energy outlook 20 2 adam sieminski, ieo20 july 25, 20 with world gdp rising by 3. The third edition of the ppeo series focuses on energy for community services. For example, germany has scaled back its 2009 blending target. The 2014 edition of the world energy outlook weo will incorporate all the latest data and developments to produce a comprehensive and authoritative analysis of medium and longerterm energy trends.
A new global energy landscape is emerging, resetting longheld expectations for our energy future. In and after 2020, a continued expansion in demand and relevant investment including. How would i cite a page on the world energy outlook. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication a detailed analysis of the pledges made for the paris agreement on. In greece, default,unexpecte d in any industrial country, has become a real fear. Welcome fatih birol, chief economist at the international energy agency iea to present the ieas 20 world energy outlook on december 3rd from 9. Pdf versions and powerpoint slide packs of the charts, maps and graphs. Welcome to the 2017 new energy outlook neo, bloomberg new energy finances annual longterm analysis of the future of energy. World energy outlook 2018 international energy agency. Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2040. Commitments have also been made by the g20 and apec to. Three policy scenarios are analysed throughout the weo report.
Contacts the international energy outlook 2016 was prepared by the u. Incorporating these recent developments and world class analysis, world energy outlook 20 presents a full update of energy projections through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, climate change, economic development and universal access to modern energy services. The 450 scenario represents a model estimate where energy markets transform sufficiently to meet the likely requirement to hold the world on track for a 2 degree climate outcome. The international energy agencys world energy outlook 20. Please note that this pdf is subject to specific restrictions that limit its use and. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 i foreword he global energy environment has changed dramatically since only a little more than one year ago. The poor peoples energy outlook 2016 provides pioneering new research into energy access planning from the perspective of the energy poor in bangladesh, kenya, and togo. Coal decreases its market share from 41 per cent to 30 per cent. Global energy use grows by 36%, with non oecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. The international energy agencys annual world energy outlook weo publication forecasts electricity demand, investment, generation capacity and trends in energy consumption until 2040. Projections in international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 are not predictions of what will happen, but. World energy outlook 2016 ieefa institute for energy. This weeks world energy outlook 2017 report from the international energy agency tells the story of an energy industry on the brink of a seismic shift, as it struggles to deal with the twin pressures of decarbonization and rising energy demand.
The international energy outlook 2016 ieo2016 presents an assessment by the u. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. The biggest demand growth will take place in india followed by china, africa and the middle east. Half of the increase is attributed to china and india. In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1.
The strong decoupling of energy consumption from economic growth is. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. All types of energy increase production, with the exception of oil. Share of world primary energy sources modified from bp, 20. World energy outlook 2017 international energy agency. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of what this transformation of the energy sector might look like, thanks to. It will complement a full set of energy projections which extend from today. Middle east demand almost doubles, to a level similar to chinas in 2035, and demand in india in 2035 is four times that of today. Microsoft outlook 20 download outlook 20 microsoft. Energy intensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. The presentation will include updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well.
Boxes represent costs and bars show fob free on board prices. Wed like to share with you some big picture thoughts on 2016 events and our outlook for 2017 and beyond. The true price of wind and solar electricity generation whereas the lcoe gives an indication of cost, and is an invaluable tool to help decide investments in power plants. It finds that bottomup national energy planning is feasible, and that it is much more likely to deliver good results than are traditional topdown approaches to energy. The global energy landscape is evolving at a rapid pace, reshaping longheld expectations for our energy future.
World energy outlook 2004appears at an extremely volatile and uncertain moment in modern energy history. Global uncertainties afflicting the energy sector can be seen as opportunities for natural gas. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties surrounding that transition. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. World energy outlook 2010 pdf download world energy outlook 2010 pdf. Global energy outlook 2015 this paper assesses trends in the global energy sector through 2040 by harmonizing multiple projections issued by private, government, and intergovernmental organizations based on methods from global energy outlooks comparison. Global energy outlook 2015 international energy forum. It brings to life the experiences of people living. The iea releases the world energy outlook weo2016 this week. According to the international energy agencys iea 20 edition of the world energy outlook weo20, technology and high prices are opening up new oil resources, but this does not mean the world is on the verge of an era of oil abundance. Eia, annual energy outlook 2014 and international energy outlook 2014. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012.
Commitments have also been made by the g20 and apec to phase out inefficient fossilfuel subsidies. This report builds on our evidence base and our call for total energy access by focusing on vital community services. World energy outlook 2016 sees renewables and natural gas. The rapid deployment and falling costs of clean energy technologies. Following the disaster, germany and switzerland announced plans to phase out.
This special report, part of the world energy outlook series, assesses the effect of recent lowcarbon energy. Poor peoples energy outlook 2016 practical action policy. Nov, 20 according to the international energy agencys iea 20 edition of the world energy outlook weo20, technology and high prices are opening up new oil resources, but this does not mean the world is on the verge of an era of oil abundance. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 international energy forum. For more information, and the free download of this report, please visit. Between 2015 and 2040, world energy consumption increases by 28% in the ieo2017 reference case. Pdf world energy outlook and place of renewable resources. Global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. This edition of the ieas flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply. It uses case study evidence from three contrasting countries to unpick what it means to plan for energy access from the bottom up, basing those plans on the energy needs and priorities expressed by the energypoor. In 2016, the world energy council and its scenarios. World energy outlook 2010 the world appears to be emerging from the worst economic crisis in decades. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special report.
Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and. This article uses the new policy scenario, where government policies as of mid2015 have been formally adopted and any relevant policy proposals. When replacing other fossilfuels, natural gas can lead to lower emissions of greenhouse gases and local pollutants. Energyintensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. Mar 08, 2017 global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. The csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr.
The world energy outlook 2015 weo2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the. The only question in my mind is whether the web site title should be iea. Russias energyrelated emissions decline slightly from 20 to 2030 and it meets its. The report also finds that the middle east, the only large source of lowcost oil, will take back its role as a key source of oil supply growth. Watch the story unfold june 16, 2016 new energy outlook neo is bloomberg new energy finances annual longterm view of how the worlds power markets will evolve into the future.
It uses case study evidence from three contrasting countries to unpick what it means to plan for energy access from the bottom up, basing those plans on the energy needs and priorities expressed by the energy poor. World energy outlook 2017 excerpt outlook for natural gas. Natural gas liquefaction capacity to be commissioned in 200920 441. Although, this large scale carbon free energy generation can provide a. Download the latest edition of the bp energy outlook, supporting resources or our country and regional insight factsheets. The 2016 edition of the poor peoples energy outlook ppeo explores energy access planning from the perspectives of poor people. World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. International energy outlook 2017 activate capital. The biggest demand growth will take place in india followed by. Paul holtberg, team leader, analysis integration team paul. The average global energy intensity improvement to 2030 reaches 1. Ieas world energy outlook 2015 center for strategic and. It can help to diversify energy supply, and so improve energy security.